NASA and NOAA Agree and Other Stuff

The results are in. I had to wait for NOAA but this morning they agreed with NASA. September was the hottest September in recorded (since1880) weather history. We are on track for the warmest year on record if the next few months follow the same patterns especially if a projected (67% possibility according to NOAA) El Niño happens. We have actually already had the warmest year on record if your year is October 2013 to September 2014.

NASA

“Researchers from NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center found that the Earth’s average global land and ocean surface temperature temperature in September was 60.30°F, which is 1.30°F warmer than the 20th century average.”

“In September, NOAA states, “warmer-than-average temperatures were evident over most of the global land surface, except for central Russia, some areas in eastern and northern Canada, and a small region in Namibia. Record warmth was notable in much of northwestern Africa, coastal regions of southeastern South America, southwestern Australia, parts of the Middle East, and regions of southeastern Asia.” Southern California experienced a heat wave in September that forced schools to shorten the school day and saw temperatures that about 15 degrees higher than average for the region.”

For all you pelagic birders looking for rare warm water birds check out the temperatures in the Pacific Ocean.

I don't see how a climate change denier would have any arguments left when you look at the next graph.

 

NOAA has also report that:

“For the third month this year, the world's oceans set a record for the warmest they have ever been since at least 1880, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reported on Monday.

September had the highest global average sea surface temperatures of any month on record since instrument record-keeping began, with a global average temperature of 61.1 degrees Fahrenheit. This was warm enough to set another milestone that had already been set two previous times this year; the average global sea surface temperature was so warm in September that it broke the all-time record for the highest departure from average for any month since 1880, at 1.19 degrees Fahrenheit above average.”

Things don't look especially good for the Southwest for the rest of the year. NOAA has also release drought tendencies and the Winter temperature forecast.

Who would get your vote for bad news-my blog or NOAA? If you continue reading there is some good news concerning California and some toilet humor.

But first more bad news. Several cities in California are experiencing record warm years. San Francisco and Sacramento are two of these cities. This InsideClimate news story features San Diego.

“San Diego, known for having one of the most desirable climates in the United States, set a record over the summer that will never be broken: It had zero days that were cooler than normal. None. Four were exactly the climatological norm, and 90 were warmer than average.”

Let's look for that good news I promised you.

Millions of households to receive the California Climate Credit in their October/November electric bill.

SACRAMENTO October 15, 2014 – The California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) and California Air Resources Board are reminding consumers that in October, during National Energy Awareness Month, 10.7 million California households will see a credit averaging $35 on their electricity bills thanks to the State’s cap-and-trade program to fight climate change. This is the second time consumers will receive the Climate Credit, as they also received it this past April, resulting in an overall total credit of $755.5 million to California households.

Did you even notice? Here in P.G.&E. area the credit is $29.80. It could be as high as $35 in other parts of the state. Small businesses receive a monthly credit. It is hoped that California residents will use their credit to purchase energy efficient appliances for their homes. I hope that renters get it passed on to them. I plan on writing about cap and trade programs in the future.

California leads on climate change, says 50-state tool.

California has completed the highest number of goals to prepare for climate change, followed by Massachusetts and New York, according to a first-of-its-kind 50-state tracking tool unveiled Thursday.

In the last five years, there's been a burst of state efforts to deal with already occurring climate impacts such as more frequent storms and rising sea levels. They've ranged from elevating wastewater treatment plants to insulating roads, building micro-grids for backup power or buying out homes in flood-prone areas.

California has been a leader, achieving 48 or 14% of its 345 self-described climate goals, says the new online tool developed by the Georgetown Climate Center, a nonpartisan research group based at Georgetown University Law School. It passed, for example, a “cool pavements” bill in 2012 to encourage lighter-colored paving materials that reduce the heat-island effect in urban areas .

OK that's not much good news but it just might swing the bad news vote to NOAA.

I have always said that there's nothing like some good toilet humor to end a post. This is toilet humor for a good cause-saving water. Enjoy or don't, it's up to you.

 

 

 

Advertisements

We Did It!!!

What did we do? For the first time in human existence we broke the 400ppm of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere. This happened on Thursday, May 9th, as measured at NOAA’s Mauna Loa Observatory. It’s sort of interesting that the Scripps Institution of Oceanography didn’t make the announcement because they use a different 24 hour reporting period. Scripps made this comment,

 “May 10 Comment:

NOAA has reported 400.03 for May 9, 2013, while Scripps has reported 399.73. The difference partly reflects different reporting periods. NOAA uses UTC, whereas Scripps uses local time in Hawaii to define the 24-hr reporting period. If Scripps were to use same reporting period as NOAA, we would report 400.08 for May 9.”
 
You can read an article in the New York Times here. One of the interesting things about these Carbon Dioxide measurements is that soon it will start down a bit because, “Carbon dioxide rises and falls on a seasonal cycle, and the level will dip below 400 this summer as leaf growth in the Northern Hemisphere pulls about 10 billion tons of carbon out of the air. But experts say that will be a brief reprieve — the moment is approaching when no measurement of the ambient air anywhere on earth, in any season, will produce a reading below 400.”
 
Time to start planting trees instead of cutting them down.
 
Here’s the Keeling Curve again, to show what’s happening.
 
 
Here’s the link to the Scripps Institution of Oceanography website to explain what it all mean. Check out the section titled, “What Does 400 ppm Look Like?”

You will find this paragraph, “Recent estimates suggest CO2 levels reached as much as 415 parts per million (ppm) during the Pliocene. With that came global average temperatures that eventually reached 3 or 4 degrees C (5.4-7.2 degrees F) higher than today’s and as much as 10 degrees C (18 degrees F) warmer at the poles. Sea level ranged between five and 40 meters (16 to 131 feet) higher than today.”
 
You would think that statements like that would catch the public’s attention.
 
 

 

 

 

Closing in on 400 ppm

Pictured above is the Keeling Curve. It shows the monthly average of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere as measured at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii. As you can see we are closing in on 400 ppm. Scripps Institute of Oceanography operates a website that tracks what the current reading is. Currently the number is 399.72 ppm. You can find the site here

350.org is a climate change organization that feels that the ppm number is so important that they took the safe level of Carbon Dioxide as their name. They say that, “350 is the number that leading scientists say is the safe upper limit for carbon dioxide—measured in “Parts Per Million” in our atmosphere. 350 PPM—it’s the number humanity needs to get back to as soon as possible to avoid runaway climate change.”

So you can see that we are not doing a real good job getting down to 350.

This is the first time I’ve captured pictures off the web. Let’s do another one.

 

IT’S OFFICIAL!!!!

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has declared, “2012 was the warmest and second most extreme year on record for the contiguous U.S” you can read about it here.

You also may have heard about what’s happening down in Australia and Tasmania. Summer temperatures are causing great fire damage. The temperatures in (and predicted to rise) Australia have caused them to add new “colors” to their temperature graphs. You can read about it here.

If you can read the “links” I will have learned another lesson in Blogging.

YES!!